ICRA Estimates India’s Q4 FY25 GDP Growth at 6.9%, Projects Full-Year Growth at 6.3%.

Economy Business | Dated: 25 May 2025

In May 2025, Gurugram (Haryana)-based ICRA Limited, a credit rating agency, projected India’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth at 6.9% for the fourth quarter (Q4) of Financial Year 2024–25 (FY25), rising from 6.2% in Q3 FY25.

🎯 Key Highlights:

  • - The agency also estimated the full-year FY25 GDP growth at 6.3%, a decline from 9.2% in FY24.

💡 Other Important Facts:

  • (i) ICRA has projected the Gross Value Added (GVA) growth at 6.3% for Q4 FY25, slightly higher than the 6.2% recorded in Q3 FY25. This indicates a marginal improvement in the overall value of goods and services produced in the economy during the final quarter of the fiscal year.
  • (ii) For the full fiscal year FY25, GDP and GVA growth are expected to moderate to 6.3% and 6.2%, respectively. This marks a decline from the 9.2% GDP and 8.6% GVA growth rates reported in FY24, reflecting a normalization after the post-pandemic rebound.
  • (iii) On the sectoral front, Industrial GVA is estimated to grow at 4.8% in Q4 FY25, rising from 4.5% in the previous quarter but falling short of the 9.5% seen in Q4 FY24. Meanwhile, Manufacturing GVA remained stable, registering a growth of 3.5% in Q4 FY25, indicating consistent but modest performance in the manufacturing sector.

📚 Test Your Knowledge:

Recently, what GDP growth rate has ICRA projected for India for the fourth quarter (Q4) of FY25?

Correct Answer: 6.9%

🚀 Quick Recap: